Nfl playoff simulator

Nfl playoff simulator DEFAULT

Revised as of 10/12/21, through Week 5

Houston DAVE is reduced by 13% due to Tyrod Taylor injury, with Taylor's chance to return at 20% in Week 6 and increasing 20% each week after that.

New York Giants DAVE is reduced by 10% due to Daniel Jones concussion in 80% of Week 6 simulations and 40% of Week 7 simulations.

San Francisco DAVE is reduced by 5% due to Jimmy Garoppolo injury, with Garoppolo's chance to return at 60% in Week 7 and increasing 20% each week after that.

Seattle DAVE is reduced by 20% due to Russell Wilson injury, with Wilson's chance to return at 40% in Week 10, 80% in Week 11, and 100% in Week 12.

NFC East

TeamW-LDAVEMean Wins#1#2#3#4#5#6#7DIVWCTOTCHANGE
DAL4-115.5%11.513.9%18.8%26.4%24.9%1.3%2.1%2.8%84.0%6.2%90.2%5.0%
PHI2-3-6.3%7.50.3%0.8%1.9%3.8%2.1%4.2%6.3%6.8%12.5%19.3%7.7%
WAS2-3-1.7%7.20.3%0.8%2.4%4.7%1.4%3.2%5.4%8.2%10.0%18.2%-5.3%
NYG1-4-9.5%5.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.8%0.4%0.9%1.7%1.1%3.0%4.1%-5.2%

NFC North

TeamW-LDAVEMean Wins#1#2#3#4#5#6#7DIVWCTOTCHANGE
GB4-110.8%10.89.3%12.3%20.1%28.7%1.9%3.4%4.8%70.3%10.0%80.4%2.3%
MIN2-34.8%8.00.6%1.6%4.9%9.5%2.5%5.1%7.5%16.6%15.1%31.7%1.4%
CHI3-2-5.2%7.80.5%1.3%3.2%7.9%1.6%3.4%5.6%12.9%10.6%23.5%6.7%
DET0-5-12.9%4.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.1%0.2%0.3%0.2%0.6%0.8%-0.8%

NFC South

TeamW-LDAVEMean Wins#1#2#3#4#5#6#7DIVWCTOTCHANGE
TB4-122.7%12.531.1%26.7%13.8%5.8%6.6%6.6%3.7%77.4%16.9%94.3%3.1%
NO3-29.2%10.24.8%7.0%4.7%2.2%17.4%18.3%13.3%18.7%49.0%67.7%14.9%
CAR3-2-7.1%7.90.4%0.8%1.3%1.1%3.2%5.8%7.8%3.7%16.8%20.5%-16.4%
ATL2-3-21.0%5.60.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%0.2%0.6%1.2%0.2%2.0%2.2%0.8%

NFC West

TeamW-LDAVEMean Wins#1#2#3#4#5#6#7DIVWCTOTCHANGE
ARI5-010.3%12.023.0%16.6%10.8%5.0%17.8%10.2%6.1%55.4%34.2%89.6%7.8%
LAR4-113.3%11.414.3%10.2%6.8%3.0%28.4%14.0%8.8%34.3%51.1%85.4%13.8%
SF2-37.5%9.10.8%1.8%2.0%1.3%9.1%12.7%13.9%5.8%35.7%41.5%-8.0%
SEA2-311.1%8.30.7%1.3%1.4%1.1%6.1%9.4%10.7%4.5%26.3%30.8%-27.7%

AFC East

TeamW-LDAVEMean Wins#1#2#3#4#5#6#7DIVWCTOTCHANGE
BUF4-124.3%13.055.9%25.6%10.2%2.3%2.2%1.5%1.0%94.0%4.7%98.7%3.9%
NE2-3-0.4%8.21.3%1.6%1.4%0.5%10.6%10.7%11.2%4.7%32.5%37.2%2.4%
MIA1-4-9.4%7.10.1%0.3%0.4%0.2%2.9%4.5%6.0%1.1%13.4%14.5%-4.3%
NYJ1-4-24.6%4.70.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%0.1%0.4%0.9%0.1%1.4%1.6%-0.6%

AFC North

TeamW-LDAVEMean Wins#1#2#3#4#5#6#7DIVWCTOTCHANGE
BAL4-113.9%11.420.8%23.2%11.7%1.5%15.7%8.9%6.0%57.2%30.6%87.7%2.2%
CLE3-29.5%9.94.4%9.7%10.1%1.8%15.1%12.7%10.5%26.0%38.2%64.2%-6.1%
CIN3-2-2.3%8.52.3%4.1%4.2%0.7%10.5%10.2%10.3%11.2%31.0%42.2%-5.1%
PIT2-30.7%7.90.8%2.0%2.4%0.4%6.2%7.6%8.5%5.6%22.4%28.0%14.2%

AFC South

TeamW-LDAVEMean Wins#1#2#3#4#5#6#7DIVWCTOTCHANGE
TEN3-2-8.4%8.41.4%3.5%8.4%48.9%0.3%0.8%1.5%62.2%2.7%64.9%14.4%
IND1-4-6.7%7.20.2%0.9%3.1%25.0%0.7%1.9%3.2%29.2%5.8%35.0%-5.8%
HOU1-4-24.4%4.70.0%0.0%0.2%5.9%0.0%0.1%0.3%6.1%0.3%6.5%-2.9%
JAX0-5-23.1%4.30.0%0.0%0.0%2.5%0.0%0.0%0.2%2.5%0.2%2.7%-3.5%

AFC West

TeamW-LDAVEMean Wins#1#2#3#4#5#6#7DIVWCTOTCHANGE
LAC4-1-0.5%10.17.7%12.3%16.3%3.4%11.1%10.7%9.5%39.7%31.3%71.0%22.7%
KC2-314.6%9.62.2%8.4%15.4%3.1%10.5%11.9%10.6%29.0%33.0%61.9%-13.8%
DEN3-21.6%9.22.0%5.8%11.8%2.7%7.6%9.8%10.5%22.3%27.9%50.2%-10.2%
LV3-2-6.7%8.01.0%2.6%4.6%1.0%6.6%8.4%9.7%9.1%24.7%33.8%-7.4%

Playoff Scenarios

This report lists the odds of each team

  • Reaching the Conference Championship Game
  • Winning the Conference Championship Game
  • Winning the Super Bowl
BUF65.6%45.7%26.5%0.0%
TB48.4%30.5%17.1%0.0%
BAL37.4%18.3%8.9%0.0%
DAL33.5%16.9%8.6%0.0%
ARI29.1%13.8%6.8%0.4%
LAR25.4%12.4%5.9%0.0%
GB23.8%10.8%5.0%0.0%
KC19.0%8.7%4.4%0.0%
CLE17.6%7.4%3.3%0.0%
NO14.2%6.2%2.8%0.0%
LAC15.4%5.4%1.9%0.0%
DEN9.9%3.6%1.4%0.0%
SEA5.6%2.4%1.2%0.0%
SF6.3%2.5%1.0%0.0%
MIN5.3%2.1%0.9%0.0%
CIN6.7%2.4%0.8%0.0%
NE5.3%1.8%0.7%0.0%
TEN8.6%2.3%0.7%0.0%
PIT4.4%1.6%0.6%0.0%
LV4.0%1.2%0.4%0.0%
IND4.5%1.3%0.4%0.0%
CHI2.5%0.7%0.2%0.0%
WAS2.2%0.7%0.2%0.0%
PHI1.7%0.5%0.2%0.0%
CAR1.6%0.5%0.1%0.0%
MIA1.1%0.3%0.1%0.0%

ON THE CLOCK

This report lists the odds of each team earning the first overall draft pick in the 2022 NFL Draft.

TeamTop PickTop 5 Pick
JAX31.5%77.9%
HOU17.1%68.4%
NYJ17.1%68.0%
DET16.5%65.3%
ATL5.9%48.2%
NYG4.6%38.9%
MIA2.3%22.0%
IND1.5%17.2%
PHI1.0%15.9%
WAS0.6%13.0%
NE0.3%7.2%
TEN0.2%7.1%
CAR0.1%7.0%
CHI0.2%6.9%
MIN0.2%6.4%
PIT0.2%6.0%
LV0.2%6.0%
SEA0.2%5.1%
CIN0.1%4.5%
SF0.1%3.0%
DEN0.0%2.7%
KC0.0%1.0%
CLE0.0%0.7%
LAC0.0%0.6%
NO0.0%0.5%
GB0.0%0.1%

Special Super Bowl Matchups

This report lists the odds of several "special" Super Bowl matchups.

NameTeamsChance
Gronk's HomecomingTB vs BUF14.0%
Super Bowls XXVII-XXVIII RematchDAL vs BUF7.6%
Hail Murray RematchARI vs BUF6.3%
Robert Woods Reunion SpecialLAR vs BUF5.7%
Super Bowl LV RematchTB vs KC2.6%
1960 Double Dallas ShowdownDAL vs KC1.5%
Texas Tech Reunion SpecialARI vs KC1.2%
Chris Berman's DreamSF vs BUF1.2%
David Simon Crossover BowlNO vs BAL1.2%
Missouri Revenge BowlLAR vs KC1.1%
Sooner BowlARI vs CLE1.0%
Fifth Time's The CharmMIN vs BUF0.9%
Return of the RamsLAR vs CLE0.9%
Super Bowl I RematchGB vs KC0.9%
Fight for L.A.LAR vs LAC0.7%
Super Bowl XII RematchDAL vs DEN0.6%
Tom Brady Reunion SpecialTB vs NE0.5%
Willie Roaf Memories BowlNO vs KC0.5%
Bruce Arians Reunion SpecialTB vs PIT0.5%
Super Bowl XLVII RematchSF vs BAL0.5%
Super Bowl XXXII RematchGB vs DEN0.4%
Super Bowl XXXVII RematchTB vs LV0.4%
Dungy BowlTB vs IND0.4%
Super Bowl XXVI RematchWAS vs BUF0.3%
Zac Taylor Reunion SpecialLAR vs CIN0.3%
Super Bowl XXXIV RematchLAR vs TEN0.3%
Super Bowls X-XIII-XXX RematchDAL vs PIT0.3%
Battle of the DynastiesDAL vs NE0.3%
Super Bowl LIV RematchSF vs KC0.3%
Super Bowl XLIII RematchARI vs PIT0.2%
Matt LaFleur Reunion SpecialGB vs TEN0.2%
Super Bowls XXXVI-LIII RematchLAR vs NE0.2%
Super Bowl XXXI RematchGB vs NE0.2%
Super Bowl V RematchDAL vs IND0.2%
Super Bowl IV RematchMIN vs KC0.2%
Sean McDermott Reunion SpecialCAR vs BUF0.2%
Frank Clark Reunion SpecialSEA vs KC0.2%
AAFC Memorial BowlSF vs CLE0.2%
Super Bowl XIV RematchLAR vs PIT0.2%
Super Bowl XLV RematchGB vs PIT0.2%
Super Bowl II RematchGB vs LV0.1%
Beltway BowlWAS vs BAL0.1%
Who Dey vs. Who DatNO vs CIN0.1%
Kevin Stefanski Reunion SpecialMIN vs CLE0.1%
Matt Nagy Reunion SpecialCHI vs KC0.1%
Super Bowl XLVIII RematchSEA vs DEN0.1%
Super Bowl XXIV RematchSF vs DEN0.1%
Florida Bowl (South)TB vs MIA0.1%
Super Bowl XLIX RematchSEA vs NE0.1%
Super Bowl XLIV RematchNO vs IND0.1%
Mike Zimmer Reunion SpecialMIN vs CIN0.1%
Andy Reid Reunion SpecialPHI vs KC0.1%

Compiled by Mike Harris

Sours: https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/nfl/playoff-odds

2021 NFL Predictions

Week 6

Thursday, Oct. 14

TB-logoBuccaneers-671%
PHI-logoEagles29%

Quality

76

How good
are these
two teams

Importance

54

How much will this game affect playoff odds

Overall

65

An overall
rating for
this game

Sunday, Oct. 17

MIA-logoDolphins-568%
JAX-logoJaguars32%

Quality

2

Importance

11

Overall

7

CIN-logoBengals-464%
DET-logoLions36%

Quality

5

Importance

21

Overall

13

GB-logoPackers-360%
CHI-logoBears40%

Quality

60

Importance

82

Overall

71

HOU-logoTexans14%
IND-logoColts-12.586%

Quality

1

Importance

16

Overall

9

KC-logoChiefs-671%
WSH-logoWashington29%

Quality

45

Importance

49

Overall

47

LAC-logoChargers36%
BAL-logoRavens-464%

Quality

94

Importance

86

Overall

90

LAR-logoRams-5.569%
NYG-logoGiants31%

Quality

55

Importance

24

Overall

40

MIN-logoVikings45%
CAR-logoPanthers-1.555%

Quality

42

Importance

75

Overall

59

ARI-logoCardinals46%
CLE-logoBrowns-154%

Quality

88

Importance

68

Overall

78

DAL-logoCowboys-154%
NE-logoPatriots46%

Quality

68

Importance

52

Overall

60

OAK-logoRaiders37%
DEN-logoBroncos-463%

Quality

37

Importance

89

Overall

63

SEA-logoSeahawks42%
PIT-logoSteelers-2.558%

Quality

32

Importance

53

Overall

43

Monday, Oct. 18

BUF-logoBills-4.565%
TEN-logoTitans35%

Quality

87

Importance

68

Overall

78

Week 7

Thursday, Oct. 21

DEN-logoBroncos31%
CLE-logoBrowns-5.569%

Quality

68

Importance

86

Overall

77

Sunday, Oct. 24

ATL-logoFalcons47%
MIA-logoDolphins-153%

Quality

16

Importance

30

Overall

23

CAR-logoPanthers49%
NYG-logoGiantsPK51%

Quality

23

Importance

42

Overall

33

CIN-logoBengals21%
BAL-logoRavens-979%

Quality

73

Importance

46

Overall

60

KC-logoChiefs-1.556%
TEN-logoTitans44%

Quality

76

Importance

73

Overall

75

NYJ-logoJets24%
NE-logoPatriots-876%

Quality

8

Importance

20

Overall

14

WSH-logoWashington22%
GB-logoPackers-8.578%

Quality

51

Importance

36

Overall

44

DET-logoLions11%
LAR-logoRams-1589%

Quality

24

Importance

4

Overall

14

PHI-logoEagles41%
OAK-logoRaiders-2.559%

Quality

28

Importance

62

Overall

45

CHI-logoBears17%
TB-logoBuccaneers-1183%

Quality

77

Importance

33

Overall

55

HOU-logoTexans8%
ARI-logoCardinals-16.592%

Quality

11

Importance

4

Overall

8

IND-logoColts33%
SF-logo49ers-567%

Quality

54

Importance

66

Overall

60

Monday, Oct. 25

NO-logoSaints-258%
SEA-logoSeahawks42%

Quality

57

Importance

93

Overall

75

Week 8

Thursday, Oct. 28

GB-logoPackers38%
ARI-logoCardinals-3.562%

Quality

90

Importance

69

Overall

80

Sunday, Oct. 31

CAR-logoPanthers48%
ATL-logoFalcons-0.552%

Quality

25

Importance

58

Overall

42

CIN-logoBengals-3.562%
NYJ-logoJets38%

Quality

6

Importance

36

Overall

21

LAR-logoRams-1183%
HOU-logoTexans17%

Quality

17

Importance

9

Overall

13

MIA-logoDolphins12%
BUF-logoBills-13.588%

Quality

69

Importance

22

Overall

46

PHI-logoEagles-3.562%
DET-logoLions38%

Quality

4

Importance

20

Overall

12

PIT-logoSteelers30%
CLE-logoBrowns-670%

Quality

58

Importance

72

Overall

65

SF-logo49ersPK51%
CHI-logoBears49%

Quality

45

Importance

88

Overall

67

TEN-logoTitans44%
IND-logoColts-1.556%

Quality

50

Importance

98

Overall

74

JAX-logoJaguars22%
SEA-logoSeahawks-8.578%

Quality

4

Importance

14

Overall

9

NE-logoPatriots24%
LAC-logoChargers-876%

Quality

72

Importance

51

Overall

62

TB-logoBuccaneers-257%
NO-logoSaints43%

Quality

93

Importance

86

Overall

90

WSH-logoWashington39%
DEN-logoBroncos-361%

Quality

42

Importance

61

Overall

52

DAL-logoCowboys-154%
MIN-logoVikings46%

Quality

69

Importance

56

Overall

63

Monday, Nov. 1

NYG-logoGiants20%
KC-logoChiefs-9.580%

Quality

54

Importance

26

Overall

40

Week 9

Thursday, Nov. 4

NYJ-logoJets21%
IND-logoColts-979%

Quality

8

Importance

21

Overall

15

Sunday, Nov. 7

ATL-logoFalcons25%
NO-logoSaints-7.575%

Quality

47

Importance

60

Overall

54

BUF-logoBills-1387%
JAX-logoJaguars13%

Quality

30

Importance

11

Overall

21

CLE-logoBrowns-258%
CIN-logoBengals42%

Quality

59

Importance

92

Overall

76

DEN-logoBroncos30%
DAL-logoCowboys-670%

Quality

69

Importance

56

Overall

63

HOU-logoTexans27%
MIA-logoDolphins-773%

Quality

2

Importance

13

Overall

8

MIN-logoVikings21%
BAL-logoRavens-979%

Quality

80

Importance

32

Overall

56

NE-logoPatriots44%
CAR-logoPanthers-1.556%

Quality

41

Importance

69

Overall

55

OAK-logoRaiders49%
NYG-logoGiantsPK51%

Quality

21

Importance

39

Overall

30

LAC-logoChargers-3.562%
PHI-logoEagles38%

Quality

63

Importance

55

Overall

59

ARI-logoCardinals-154%
SF-logo49ers46%

Quality

80

Importance

84

Overall

82

GB-logoPackers39%
KC-logoChiefs-361%

Quality

89

Importance

58

Overall

74

TEN-logoTitans27%
LAR-logoRams-773%

Quality

79

Importance

33

Overall

56

Monday, Nov. 8

CHI-logoBears41%
PIT-logoSteelers-2.559%

Quality

29

Importance

50

Overall

40

Week 10

Thursday, Nov. 11

BAL-logoRavens-6.571%
MIA-logoDolphins29%

Quality

61

Importance

49

Overall

55

Sunday, Nov. 14

ATL-logoFalcons23%
DAL-logoCowboys-8.577%

Quality

51

Importance

32

Overall

42

BUF-logoBills-1285%
NYJ-logoJets15%

Quality

38

Importance

16

Overall

27

CLE-logoBrowns-154%
NE-logoPatriots46%

Quality

67

Importance

91

Overall

79

DET-logoLions26%
PIT-logoSteelers-774%

Quality

5

Importance

8

Overall

7

JAX-logoJaguars19%
IND-logoColts-10.581%

Quality

5

Importance

18

Overall

12

NO-logoSaints50%
TEN-logoTitansPK50%

Quality

67

Importance

70

Overall

69

TB-logoBuccaneers-5.568%
WSH-logoWashington32%

Quality

80

Importance

52

Overall

66

CAR-logoPanthers24%
ARI-logoCardinals-876%

Quality

69

Importance

58

Overall

64

MIN-logoVikings27%
LAC-logoChargers-773%

Quality

74

Importance

40

Overall

57

PHI-logoEagles36%
DEN-logoBroncos-464%

Quality

36

Importance

68

Overall

52

SEA-logoSeahawks30%
GB-logoPackers-670%

Quality

64

Importance

65

Overall

65

KC-logoChiefs-3.562%
OAK-logoRaiders38%

Quality

64

Importance

94

Overall

79

Monday, Nov. 15

LAR-logoRams-1.555%
SF-logo49ers45%

Quality

82

Importance

78

Overall

80

Week 11

Thursday, Nov. 18

NE-logoPatriotsPK50%
ATL-logoFalcons50%

Quality

30

Importance

50

Overall

40

Sunday, Nov. 21

BAL-logoRavens-464%
CHI-logoBears36%

Quality

71

Importance

56

Overall

64

DET-logoLions14%
CLE-logoBrowns-1386%

Quality

18

Importance

11

Overall

15

GB-logoPackers-1.555%
MIN-logoVikings45%

Quality

69

Importance

83

Overall

76

HOU-logoTexans20%
TEN-logoTitans-9.580%

Quality

7

Importance

32

Overall

20

IND-logoColts20%
BUF-logoBills-9.580%

Quality

85

Importance

53

Overall

69

MIA-logoDolphins-1.556%
NYJ-logoJets44%

Quality

3

Importance

20

Overall

12

NO-logoSaints-257%
PHI-logoEagles43%

Quality

53

Importance

92

Overall

73

SF-logo49ers-6.572%
JAX-logoJaguars28%

Quality

8

Importance

21

Overall

15

WSH-logoWashington42%
CAR-logoPanthers-258%

Quality

36

Importance

70

Overall

53

CIN-logoBengals46%
OAK-logoRaiders-154%

Quality

30

Importance

91

Overall

61

ARI-logoCardinals-1.556%
SEA-logoSeahawks44%

Quality

78

Importance

88

Overall

83

DAL-logoCowboys39%
KC-logoChiefs-361%

Quality

88

Importance

58

Overall

73

PIT-logoSteelers23%
LAC-logoChargers-8.577%

Quality

66

Importance

39

Overall

53

Monday, Nov. 22

NYG-logoGiants17%
TB-logoBuccaneers-1183%

Quality

68

Importance

16

Overall

42

Week 12

Thursday, Nov. 25

CHI-logoBears-3.563%
DET-logoLions37%

Quality

4

Importance

23

Overall

14

OAK-logoRaiders26%
DAL-logoCowboys-7.574%

Quality

59

Importance

49

Overall

54

BUF-logoBills-258%
NO-logoSaints42%

Quality

94

Importance

78

Overall

86

Sunday, Nov. 28

ATL-logoFalcons-361%
JAX-logoJaguars39%

Quality

2

Importance

8

Overall

5

CAR-logoPanthers49%
MIA-logoDolphinsPK51%

Quality

23

Importance

55

Overall

39

Sours: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2021-nfl-predictions/
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2021 N.F.L. Playoff Picture:
Every Team’s Playoff Chances

The N.F.L. Playoff Picture, Team by Team

Buffalo Bills »

The Buffalo Bills (4-1) beat the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, boosting their chances of making the playoffs to 92 percent from 83 percent.

New England Patriots »

The New England Patriots (2-3) beat the Houston Texans on Sunday, increasing their chances of making the playoffs to 27 percent from 18 percent.

Miami Dolphins »

The Miami Dolphins (1-4) lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, reducing their chances of making the playoffs slightly to 11 percent from 15 percent.

New York Jets »

The New York Jets (1-4) lost to the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, lowering their chances of making the playoffs to 8 percent from 13 percent.

Baltimore Ravens »

The Baltimore Ravens (4-1) beat the Indianapolis Colts on Monday, increasing their chances of making the playoffs to 82 percent from 73 percent.

Cleveland Browns »

The Cleveland Browns (3-2) lost to the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, lowering their chances of making the playoffs slightly to 67 percent from 71 percent.

Cincinnati Bengals »

The Cincinnati Bengals (3-2) lost to the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, lowering their chances of making the playoffs to 52 percent from 60 percent.

Pittsburgh Steelers »

The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3) beat the Denver Broncos on Sunday, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 20 percent from 14 percent.

Tennessee Titans »

The Tennessee Titans (3-2) beat the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 71 percent from 52 percent.

Indianapolis Colts »

The Indianapolis Colts (1-4) lost to the Baltimore Ravens on Monday, lowering their chances of making the playoffs to 20 percent from 27 percent.

Houston Texans »

The Houston Texans (1-4) lost to the New England Patriots on Sunday, dropping their chances of making the playoffs to 17 percent from 26 percent.

Jacksonville Jaguars »

The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-5) lost to the Tennessee Titans on Sunday, dropping their chances of making the playoffs to 5 percent from 11 percent.

Los Angeles Chargers »

The Los Angeles Chargers (4-1) beat the Cleveland Browns on Sunday, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 85 percent from 74 percent.

Las Vegas Raiders »

The Las Vegas Raiders (3-2) lost to the Chicago Bears on Sunday, dropping their chances of making the playoffs to 52 percent from 60 percent.

Denver Broncos »

The Denver Broncos (3-2) lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, lowering their chances of making the playoffs to 51 percent from 59 percent.

Kansas City Chiefs »

The Kansas City Chiefs (2-3) lost to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, lowering their chances of making the playoffs to 40 percent from 46 percent.

Dallas Cowboys »

The Dallas Cowboys (4-1) beat the New York Giants on Sunday, increasing their chances of making the playoffs to 86 percent from 76 percent.

Philadelphia Eagles »

The Philadelphia Eagles (2-3) beat the Carolina Panthers on Sunday, increasing their chances of making the playoffs to 24 percent from 17 percent.

Washington Football Team »

The Washington Football Team (2-3) lost to the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, reducing their chances of making the playoffs to 22 percent from 37 percent.

New York Giants »

The New York Giants (1-4) lost to the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday, lowering their chances of making the playoffs to 8 percent from 15 percent.

Green Bay Packers »

The Green Bay Packers (4-1) beat the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, raising their chances of making the playoffs slightly to 66 percent from 62 percent.

Chicago Bears »

The Chicago Bears (3-2) beat the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, increasing their chances of making the playoffs slightly to 41 percent from 36 percent.

Minnesota Vikings »

The Minnesota Vikings (2-3) beat the Detroit Lions on Sunday, boosting their chances of making the playoffs slightly to 38 percent from 34 percent.

Detroit Lions »

The Detroit Lions (0-5) lost to the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, dropping their chances of making the playoffs slightly to 1 percent from 3 percent.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers »

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-1) beat the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, increasing their chances of making the playoffs to 75 percent from 68 percent.

New Orleans Saints »

The New Orleans Saints (3-2) beat the Washington Football Team on Sunday, increasing their chances of making the playoffs to 54 percent from 43 percent.

Carolina Panthers »

The Carolina Panthers (3-2) lost to the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, dropping their chances of making the playoffs to 53 percent from 67 percent.

Atlanta Falcons »

The Atlanta Falcons (2-3) beat the New York Jets on Sunday, but their chances of making the playoffs remained 9 percent.

Arizona Cardinals »

The Arizona Cardinals (5-0) beat the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, boosting their chances of making the playoffs slightly to 93 percent from 89 percent.

Los Angeles Rams »

The Los Angeles Rams (4-1) beat the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 78 percent from 66 percent.

Seattle Seahawks »

The Seattle Seahawks (2-3) lost to the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday, lowering their chances of making the playoffs to 30 percent from 44 percent.

San Francisco 49ers »

The San Francisco 49ers (2-3) lost to the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday, lowering their chances of making the playoffs to 23 percent from 33 percent.

Sours: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html
2021 NFL Playoff Bracket with Jason McIntyre - FOX NFL

This project has moved! Please see the NFL Playoff Predictor for 2016 and beyond!

#AFC EastWLTDiv
-Buffalo0-00-00
-Miami0-00-00
-New England0-00-00
-NY Jets0-00-00
#AFC NorthWLTDiv
-Baltimore0-00-00
-Cleveland0-00-00
-Cincinnati0-00-00
-Pittsburgh0-00-00
#AFC SouthWLTDiv
-Houston0-00-00
-Indianapolis0-00-00
-Jacksonville0-00-00
-Tennessee0-00-00
#AFC WestWLTDiv
-Denver0-00-00
-Kansas City0-00-00
-Oakland0-00-00
-San Diego0-00-00

How to use: mostly just click stuff...

  • Click on numbered buttons at the top to change weeks.
  • Click on the name of a team in the standings to display that team's
    schedule.
  • Click on the team you think will win.
    • Click the = on the middle for a tie.
    • Click again to undo your prediction.
  • Copy the URL at near the bottom.
    • It has all 256 of your predictions.
    • Post it on Reddit.
    • Tweet it.
  • Standings updated automatically.
  • NFL tie-breakers implemented all the way to Strength of Schedule.
    This should cover 99%+ of realistic scenarioes.
  • Prime Time games are labeled:
    • T: Thursday/Thanksgiving game
    • Z: Saturday Night game
    • N: Sunday Night game (may be flexed out)
    • M: Monday Night game
    • U: game @ London, UK
    • C: game @ Toronto, Canada

Known issues and quirks:

  • NY Giants logo not up to par. Needs new transparent version that
    looks good on both white and NY Giants blue backgrounds
  • Tiebreakers behave oddly when very few games picked.
    • This is due to ties being broken by Strength of Schedule.
    • Pick more games and the tiebreakers will settle down.
  • Point based tiebreakers NOT implemented.
    Don't panic--tying division records AND conference records AND Strength of Schedule
    AND Strength of Victory is nearly impossible.
  • Coin-flip tiebreaker actually "which abbreviation comes first
    alphabetically".
  • Data automatically saved in cookie--sometimes too automatically.
    Could use UI improvement.
#NFC EastWLTDiv
-Dallas0-00-00
-NY Giants0-00-00
-Philadelphia0-00-00
-Washington0-00-00
#NFC NorthWLTDiv
-Chicago0-00-00
-Detroit0-00-00
-Green Bay0-00-00
-Minnesota0-00-00
#NFC SouthWLTDiv
-Atlanta0-00-00
-Carolina0-00-00
-New Orleans0-00-00
-Tampa Bay0-00-00
#NFC WestWLTDiv
-Arizona0-00-00
-St. Louis0-00-00
-San Francisco0-00-00
-Seattle0-00-00
Sours: https://raylehnhoff.github.io/nflschedulepicker/

Playoff simulator nfl

Predicting NFL playoff teams and Super Bowl 2022 winner

Super Bowl 2022: After the Tampa Bay Buccaneers dominated the Kansas City Chiefs 31-9 in Super Bowl LV, and managed to keep their entire core of starters together in free agency, it looks like the Bucs have a legitimate chance to repeat.

Who will comprise the 14 NFL playoff teams once the 2021 season is finished? Who will be the Super Bowl 2022 winner in the next calendar year? Check out Sportsnaut’s predictions, which will be updated each week during the regular season based on the latest standings.

Related: NFL games today – Full TV schedule, daily fantasy picks, best bets

Is Tom Brady the greatest of all time or a cheater?

Predicting Super Bowl 22 winner, playoff team

AFC West champions: Los Angeles Chargers (4-1)

nfl playoff predictions: los angeles chargers

One big change from last week. We now believe that these Chargers are the team to beat in the AFC West. They hold a two-game lead over the Kansas City Chiefs and have already defeated the two-time defending conference champions.

More than anything, it’s the performance of sophomore MVP candidate Justin Herbert who has us as believers. Through five games, the quarterback is on pace for 5,358 yards to go with 44 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. With games coming up against inferior teams in that of the New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, Minnesota Vikings and Pittsburgh Steelers, these Chargers can gain even more separation in the division.

Related: NFL Q&A: Super Bowl LVI start time, channel, date, and the halftime show

AFC North champions: Baltimore Ravens (4-1)

super bowl 2022 predictions: baltimore ravens

Yet another change from last week, it’s also about the quarterback position in Baltimore. Lamar Jackson’s 500-yard, four-touchdown performance in a comeback win over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 5 was among the greatest regular-season performances we’ve seen in some time.

With that said, it’s definitely going to be tight in the AFC North. There’s still some major questions regarding the running back position in Baltimore. The team’s once-vaunted defense has also given up north of 340 passing yards in three of five games this season. The loss of Marcus Peters surely has hurt.

Related: Updated NFL defense rankings

AFC South champions: Tennessee Titans (3-2)

super bowl 2022: tennessee titans

It’s looking more and more like Tennessee is going to run away with the AFC South with Indianapolis having started the season 1-4. Sure there are issues on defense (26 points per game), but the combination of Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, and Julio Jones makes this among the most electric offenses in the NFL.

The Titans will be tested later in October with consecutive matchups against other AFC contenders in that of the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs. A recent loss to the hapless New York Jets acts as a recent reminder that there’s not much margin for error in the NFL.

AFC East champions: Buffalo Bills (4-1)

nfl playoff predictions: buffalo bills

Yet another team that started out slowly with a loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1, these Bills have proven to be undaunted since. This includes outscoring two playoff hopefuls in that of the Miami Dolphins and Washington Football Team by a combined margin of 78-21 in Weeks 2-3. They followed those performances up by shutting out the Houston Texans 40-0 before last week’s huge road win over the Kansas City Chiefs.

It’s domination on both sides of the ball for Buffalo. Josh Allen is leading an offense that’s averaging 34.4 points per game. He’s put up a cool 14 touchdowns against two interceptions. Defensively, Buffalo is also yielding a league-low 12.8 points per game. All of this equates to the best team in the AFC, bar none.

AFC Wild Card predictions: Kansas City Chiefs, Cleveland Browns, Cincinnati Bengals

Kansas-City-Chiefs-Patrick-Mahomes

At 2-3 on the season, we’re expecting Kansas City to turn it around at some point. Patrick Mahomes is just too good to have this team mired in mediocrity. The obvious issue here is a defense that’s yielding a league-worst 32.6 points per game. That’s just not sustainable if the Chiefs want to three-peat as conference champs.

As for the Cleveland Browns, they have gone from potential Super Bowl contender to mid-tier playoff team following an ugly 47-42 loss to the Chargers in Week 5. There’s now growing concern over the team’s defense following two consecutive brilliant outings against the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings.

The third AFC Wild Card team could end up very well being a crap shoot. We previously had the Las Vegas Raiders occupying that spot before a second consecutive loss and the shocking Jon Gruden resignation. That’s now longer in the cards. In a prediction that will likely change weekly, Joe Burrow and the upstart Bengals now occupy that spot. He has Cincinnati at 3-2 on the season and a late-game Week 5 loss from being 4-1.

  • In The Hunt: Denver Broncos, Las Vegas Raiders, Pittsburgh Steelers, New England Patriots

NFC West champions: Los Angeles Rams (4-1)

Matthew Stafford changes the dynamics in a big way for these Los Angeles Rams. Through five games, the Pro Bowler has the team averaging 28.2 points per game. However, a Week 4 hiccup against the Arizona Cardinals will lead to more questions about whether Los Angeles is actually the odds-on favorite out west.

What makes these Rams legit when it comes to the Super Bowl race is its defense, too. They passed the test against the Seahawks and with Russell Wilson now set to miss time, the NFC West race got a bit easier.

Check out our latest NFL QB rankings

NFC North champions: Green Bay Packers (4-1)

5 crazy QB trades that could happen in 2021 NFL offseason

An off-season filled with drama in Green Bay continued with Aaron Rodgers and his Packers being blown out by New Orleans in Week 1. At that point, it seemed like the sky was falling in Wisconsin. Since then, these Packers have won four consecutive games. That includes their latest OT thriller against the rising Cincinnati Bengals.

There’s still some major issues in Green Bay. That’s especially true on the defensive side of the ball. The Chicago Bears are on their heels, but they don’t have the same consistency yet. This division is the Packers’ for the taking.

NFC South champions: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-1)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady

Tom is still terrific. The 44-year-old quarterback leads the NFL in completions (149), attempts (225) and yards (1,767) through five games. After another dominant performance, TB1 has tallied 16 total touchdowns in five games. Unfortunately, not everything is perfect in Tampa. That includes the worst rushing attack in the NFL and some major questions at corner.

Perhaps, the addition of Richard Sherman will help when it comes to pass coverage. Even then, the lack of balance on offense could be concerning. Might that prevent the Bucs from repeating?

NFC East champions: Dallas Cowboys (4-1)

super bowl 22 predictions: dallas cowboys

Don’t look now, but America’s Team could be back as the Super Bowl 2022 winner. OK, that might be a bit premature. But if the first five games of the 2021 NFL season are any indication, Dallas means business.

Dak Prescott has Dallas averaging the second-most points in the NFL at 34.0 per game. Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard have combined for 925 total yards in the backfield. Meanwhile, an opportunistic Boys defense has forced a league-high 12 turnovers. That includes six interceptions from Trevon Diggs alone.

NFC Wild Card predictions: Arizona Cardinals, Chicago Bears, Carolina Panthers

The NFC West is an absolute bloodbath. Arizona finds itself as the only undefeated team in the NFL at 5-0. Kyler Murray is playing MVP-caliber football. This team is legit. We’re still not buying Arizona over the Rams right now. Time will tell on that front.

As for the rest of the wild card picture in the NFC, it’s a complete mess. The Seattle Seahawks could be without Russell Wilson for eight weeks. The San Francisco 49ers are missing their top two quarterbacks in Jimmy Garoppolo and Trey Lance and have lost three consecutive. By default alone, we’re going with the Bears and Panthers to earn the final two playoff spots in the conference.

  • In The Hunt: Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Football Team, Minnesota Vikings, New Orleans Saints, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks

So who will win Super Bowl LVI?

NFL: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

There’s a lot of football to play, it’ll be much easier to figure out who might hoist the Lombardi Trophy in Super Bowl LVI as the season goes on.

As for the road to the Big Game, here are some bold predictions: the Buffalo Bills take out the Cleveland Browns in the AFC Championship Game with the Los Angeles Rams defeating Tom Brady and the defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC Championship Game.

It’s a legitimately tough call to figure out who would come out on top between the Bills and Rams in the Super Bowl. But right now, we have to go with the hottest and most well-rounded team in the NFL. Buffalo ends its futility in the big game and wins a first ever Super Bowl.

NFL playoff bracket: Full postseason predictions for AFC and NFC

AFC Playoffs

  • Wild card round: Chargers over Bengals, Chiefs over Ravens, Browns over Titans
  • Divisional round: Bills over Chiefs, Browns over Chargers
  • AFC Championship Game: Bills over Browns

NFC Playoffs

  • Wild card round: Rams over Panthers, Cowboys over Bears, Packers over Cardinals
  • Divisional round: Buccaneers over Packers, Rams over Cowboys
  • NFC Championship Game: Rams over Buccaneers
  • Super Bowl 2022: Buffalo Bills over Los Angeles Rams

Subscribe to Sportsnaut’s FREE Morning Brew! A delicious blend of the freshest headlines, rumors, rankings, and much more. Get your sports-fix daily, direct to your inbox. Sign-up now.


Sours: https://sportsnaut.com/predicting-nfl-playoff-teams-and-super-bowl-winner/
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NFL Post Season Probabilities

NFL - Week 6 of 18

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

Record Super Bowl WinnerSuper BowlConference Championship Conf GameRound 2Round 1
TeamConference ConfWLT
CardinalsNFC50015%25%41%67%93%
ChargersAFC41010%21%35%58%84%
CowboysNFC4108%14%28%52%81%
BuccaneersNFC4108%13%26%47%76%
RamsNFC4108%13%25%48%82%
BillsAFC4107%15%30%54%84%
RavensAFC4107%15%28%47%73%
PackersNFC4106%11%23%44%73%
RaidersAFC3204%9%17%34%58%
TitansAFC3203%8%18%40%72%
BengalsAFC3203%7%15%30%52%
BrownsAFC3203%7%15%30%52%
BearsNFC3203%6%13%29%51%
SaintsNFC3203%5%11%25%49%
BroncosAFC3202%5%11%24%46%
PanthersNFC3202%4%9%22%43%
SteelersAFC2302%4%8%18%34%
ChiefsAFC2301%3%7%16%31%
PatriotsAFC2301%2%6%15%31%
EaglesNFC2301%2%5%14%31%
WFTNFC2301%2%4%12%25%
Forty-Niners49'ersNFC2301%1%3%10%24%
ColtsAFC140<1%1%3%10%24%
VikingsNFC230<1%1%3%10%22%
SeahawksNFC230<1%1%3%9%22%
FalconsNFC230<1%1%2%8%19%
DolphinsAFC140<1%1%2%8%19%
JetsAFC140<1%1%2%7%18%
TexansAFC140<1%1%2%7%17%
GiantsNFC140<1%<1%1%3%7%
JaguarsAFC050<1%<1%<1%2%5%
LionsNFC050<1%<1%<1%<1%1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

Contact UsCopyright © 2021 All Rights Reserved Sours: http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nflpostseasonprob.html


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